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Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 00:30

Instituto Cordoba

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Platense

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-110.1%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.4%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-17.6%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.6%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% 50.0% 2.00 -2.6%

Draw 28.7% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Away win 22.6% 22.5% 4.45 +0.3%

Over 2.5 41.6% 35.7% 2.80 +16.5%

Over 3.5 22.6% 17.4% 5.75 +18.0%

BTTS 48.7% 43.5% 2.30 +12.0%

Home O1.5 33.1% 39.2% 2.55 -15.6%

Away O1.5 20.3% 21.1% 4.75 -2.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -26.1%

Bet Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.8%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Instituto Cordoba1.2

Platense0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INSTITUTO CORDOBA · PPG 1.62

PLATENSE · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Instituto Cordoba (H) 48.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -2.6%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Platense (A) 22.6%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Instituto Cordoba face Platense in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Instituto Cordoba a 49% chance, the draw 29% and Platense 23%, so Instituto Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Instituto Cordoba and 0.7 for Platense (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Instituto Cordoba are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.00 for Platense. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.0%.

Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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