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Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 22:00

Talleres Cordoba

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Velez Sarsfield

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.9%0-114.4%0-25.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.0%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.7%2-15.9%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.3%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.3% 42.7% 2.34 -10.4%

Draw 32.4% 35.7% 2.80 -9.3%

Away win 29.3% 28.6% 3.50 +1.5%

Over 2.5 33.6% 37.0% 2.70 -9.3%

Over 3.5 17.1% 19.0% 5.25 -6.1%

BTTS 45.4% 47.6% 2.10 -4.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% 36.4% 2.75 -10.3%

Away O1.5 20.3% 26.3% 3.80 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -26.1%

Bet Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.4%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.9%

#2 1–0 17.0%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 0–1 14.4%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Cordoba0.9

Velez Sarsfield0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES CORDOBA · PPG 1.62

VELEZ SARSFIELD · PPG 1.62

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 1.67 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Cordoba (H) 38.3%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV -10.4%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -9.3%

Velez Sarsfield (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Cordoba face Velez Sarsfield in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Cordoba a 38% chance, the draw 32% and Velez Sarsfield 29%, so Talleres Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Talleres Cordoba and 0.8 for Velez Sarsfield (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Cordoba are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.62 for Velez Sarsfield. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +2.2%.

Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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