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Richmond Kickers vs Alta Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:00

Richmond Kickers

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Alta

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-110.9%0-28.4%0-34.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-07.9%1-112.1%1-29.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.4%2-16.7%2-25.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 41.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 24.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 7.1%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Richmond Kickers1.1

Alta1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RICHMOND KICKERS · PPG 1.14

ALTA · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Richmond Kickers (H) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alta (A) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Richmond Kickers face Alta in USA - USL League One on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Richmond Kickers a 34% chance, the draw 25% and Alta 41%, so Alta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Richmond Kickers and 1.5 for Alta (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Richmond Kickers are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.38 for Alta.

Richmond Kickers vs Alta Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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