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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:00

Chattanooga Red Wolves

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Spokane Velocity

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-14.1%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.3%1-18.9%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.9%3-16.9%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-16.2%4+-22.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.9% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 18.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 24.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 60% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chattanooga Red Wolves2.2

Spokane Velocity0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CHATTANOOGA RED WOLVES · PPG 2.25

SPOKANE VELOCITY · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Chattanooga Red Wolves (H) 59.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spokane Velocity (A) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Chattanooga Red Wolves face Spokane Velocity in USA - USL League One on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chattanooga Red Wolves a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Spokane Velocity 18%, so Chattanooga Red Wolves are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 0.8 for Spokane Velocity (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chattanooga Red Wolves are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.71 for Spokane Velocity.

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Spokane Velocity Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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