Today / Italy - Serie C - Girone C / Cassino vs Valmontone

Cassino vs Valmontone Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Girone C - 37 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 18:30

Cassino

PPG 0.93 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Valmontone

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-113.5%0-29.6%0-34.6%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.1%2-15.9%2-24.2%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.3%3-11.8%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% 34.7% 2.88 -28.9%

Draw 26.9% 31.3% 3.20 -13.9%

Away win 48.4% 44.4% 2.25 +8.9%

Over 2.5 41.9% 52.6% 1.90 -20.4%

Over 3.5 21.2% 30.8% 3.25 -31.1%

BTTS 46.1% 59.9% 1.67 -23.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.1%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.5%

#2 1–1 12.6%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 1–2✓ 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cassino0.9

Valmontone1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CASSINO · PPG 0.93

VALMONTONE · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.53) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Cassino (H) 24.7%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -28.9%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -13.9%

Valmontone (A) 48.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cassino face Valmontone in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cassino a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Valmontone 48%, so Valmontone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cassino and 1.4 for Valmontone (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cassino are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.53 for Valmontone. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Cassino vs Valmontone Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie C - Girone C Predictions