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Cassino vs Valmontone Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 37 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza· Casarano Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:30
Cassino logo Cassino PPG 0.93
1-2 HIT CS5
Valmontone logo Valmontone PPG 1.53
Away· +8.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cassino face Valmontone in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cassino a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Valmontone 48%, so Valmontone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cassino and 1.4 for Valmontone (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cassino are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.53 for Valmontone. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.7%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -28.9%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -13.9%
Away 48.4%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +8.9%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.9% Odds: 1.90 -20.4%
Over 3.5 21.2% Odds: 3.25 -31.1%
BTTS 46.1% Odds: 1.67 -23.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cassino
0.93
Valmontone
1.43

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.53) vs Home POOR (0.93)

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