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Cukaricki vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

Cukaricki

PPG 1.15 · HOME

UPCOMING

Radnicki 1923

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-19.2%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.4%1-112.4%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-18.4%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-13.8%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% 37.7% 2.65 +24.6%

Draw 30.2% 31.7% 3.15 -4.9%

Away win 22.7% 39.4% 2.54 -25.4%

Over 2.5 37.3% 47.6% 2.10 -21.7%

Over 3.5 22.5% 27.0% 3.70 -10.1%

BTTS 46.4% 56.5% 1.77 -17.9%

Home O1.5 38.3% 38.2% 2.62 +0.4%

Away O1.5 20.3% 39.2% 2.55 -28.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -30.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.4%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 0–0 12.2%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cukaricki1.4

Radnicki 19230.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CUKARICKI · PPG 1.15

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cukaricki (H) 47.0%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +24.6%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -4.9%

Radnicki 1923 (A) 22.7%

ODDS 2.54 · IMPLIED 39.4% EV -25.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cukaricki face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cukaricki a 47% chance, the draw 30% and Radnicki 1923 23%, so Cukaricki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cukaricki and 0.8 for Radnicki 1923 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cukaricki are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.88 for Radnicki 1923. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Cukaricki vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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