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Recanatese vs Sora Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 32 Nicola Tubaldi Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Recanatese logo Recanatese PPG 0.93
2-0 MISS
Sora logo Sora PPG 1.00
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Recanatese face Sora in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Recanatese a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Sora 35%, so Recanatese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Recanatese and 1.4 for Sora (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Recanatese are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.00 for Sora. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 24.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 34.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: —
BTTS 60.0% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Recanatese
1.57
Sora
1.42

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 30%
Score Hit 44%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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