Ostia Mare vs LAquila Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 32 Stadio Anco Marzio· Lido di Ostia Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Ostia Mare PPG 2.27

2-1 HIT CS4

LAquila PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostia Mare face LAquila in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostia Mare a 81% chance, the draw 12% and LAquila 6%, so Ostia Mare are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Ostia Mare and 0.7 for LAquila (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostia Mare are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.13 for LAquila. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 81.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 12.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 6.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 45.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 45.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ostia Mare

2.78

LAquila

0.66

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away AVERAGE (1.13) - Strong consensus