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Baltika vs Dynamo Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 17:45

Baltika

PPG 1.65 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dynamo

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-110.6%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.4%1-113.1%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-18.2%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.4%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 25.9% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.8% — — —

Away O1.5 24.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -15.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.6%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baltika1.2

Dynamo0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BALTIKA · PPG 1.65

DYNAMO · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Baltika (H) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dynamo (A) 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baltika face Dynamo in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baltika a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Dynamo 26%, so Baltika are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Baltika and 0.9 for Dynamo (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baltika are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.52 for Dynamo.

Baltika vs Dynamo Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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