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Akron vs Rubin Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Akron

PPG 0.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rubin

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.4%0-26.8%0-33.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.0%1-111.3%1-29.1%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-17.5%2-26.1%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.1%3-13.4%3-22.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 61.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -15.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.7%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Akron1.3

Rubin1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AKRON · PPG 0.70

RUBIN · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Akron (H) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rubin (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Akron face Rubin in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Akron a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Rubin 40%, so Rubin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Akron and 1.6 for Rubin (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Akron are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.22 for Rubin.

Akron vs Rubin Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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