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CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:15

CSKA Moscow

PPG 2.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Krylia Sovetov

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.08 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-15.9%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.9%1-110.4%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.3%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.9%3-15.5%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-13.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.7% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 48.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -15.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.9%

#2 2–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CSKA Moscow1.8

Krylia Sovetov0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CSKA MOSCOW · PPG 2.18

KRYLIA SOVETOV · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.08 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

CSKA Moscow (H) 54.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Krylia Sovetov (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CSKA Moscow face Krylia Sovetov in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSKA Moscow a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Krylia Sovetov 21%, so CSKA Moscow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for CSKA Moscow and 0.7 for Krylia Sovetov (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSKA Moscow are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 0.80 for Krylia Sovetov.

CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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