Today / Russia - Premier League / Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:30

Dinamo Makhachkala

PPG 1.46 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lokomotiv

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.8%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.8%1-112.6%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.0%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.3%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 27.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -15.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.0%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Makhachkala1.4

Lokomotiv1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO MAKHACHKALA · PPG 1.46

LOKOMOTIV · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Makhachkala (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lokomotiv (A) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Makhachkala face Lokomotiv in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Makhachkala a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv 27%, so Dinamo Makhachkala are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 1.1 for Lokomotiv (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Makhachkala are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.48 for Lokomotiv.

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Russia - Premier League Predictions