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FC Zurich vs Servette FC Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

FC Zurich

PPG 1.28 · HOME

UPCOMING

Servette FC

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.1% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.6%0-25.5%0-32.7%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.8%1-111.3%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.5%2-26.2%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.9%3-14.3%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 29.9% 3.35 +35.3%

Draw 24.9% 26.3% 3.80 -3.2%

Away win 34.7% 51.3% 1.95 -32.3%

Over 2.5 61.2% 63.7% 1.57 -3.9%

Over 3.5 37.3% 41.7% 2.40 -10.5%

BTTS 62.1% 67.6% 1.48 -8.1%

Home O1.5 45.4% 42.6% 2.35 +6.7%

Away O1.5 45.9% 57.8% 1.73 -20.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.1%

H 40% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Zurich1.5

Servette FC1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ZURICH · PPG 1.28

SERVETTE FC · PPG 1.38

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Zurich (H) 40.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +35.3%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -3.2%

Servette FC (A) 34.7%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -32.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Zurich face Servette FC in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Zurich a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Servette FC 35%, so FC Zurich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for FC Zurich and 1.5 for Servette FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Zurich are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.38 for Servette FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.3%.

FC Zurich vs Servette FC Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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