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Switzerland - Super League Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:30 
Lugano PPG 2.00 
FC Basel PPG 1.44
Switzerland - Super League Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:30 Lugano PPG 2.004-0 MISS
FC Basel PPG 1.44Draw· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.44 -14.9%
Over 3.5 33.3% Odds: 2.10 -30.1%
BTTS 56.1% Odds: 1.42 -20.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lugano 1.75
FC Basel 1.15
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 31 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 26%
ROI 9.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)