FC Basel vs St. Gallen Prediction & Tips

Switzerland - Super League Championship Group - 37 St. Jakob-Park· Basel Thursday, May 14, 2026 14:30

FC Basel PPG 1.67

1-3 MISS

St. Gallen PPG 1.89

Draw· -0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Home 36.3%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -9.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -0.4%

Away 37.9%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -7.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.42 -15.7%

Over 3.5 35.0% Odds: 2.05 -28.2%

BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.36 -20.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

FC Basel

1.40

St. Gallen

1.59

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -15.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.89)