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BSC Young Boys vs Sion Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Championship Group - 38 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 14:30

BSC Young Boys

PPG 1.72 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sion

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.8%0-24.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.9%1-19.8%1-28.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.8%3-14.6%3-23.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.8%4+-22.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 38.5% 2.60 -1.5%

Draw 24.7% 26.0% 3.85 -2.9%

Away win 37.4% 42.6% 2.35 -12.1%

Over 2.5 61.7% 69.0% 1.45 -10.5%

Over 3.5 43.2% 46.5% 2.15 -7.1%

BTTS 59.7% 72.5% 1.38 -17.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.7%

H 38% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–0 3.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSC Young Boys1.7

Sion1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BSC YOUNG BOYS · PPG 1.72

SION · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.72), Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

BSC Young Boys (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -1.5%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -2.9%

Sion (A) 37.4%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

BSC Young Boys face Sion in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSC Young Boys a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Sion 37%, so BSC Young Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for BSC Young Boys and 1.7 for Sion (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSC Young Boys are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.56 for Sion. This match finished 3-3.

BSC Young Boys vs Sion Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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