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Lausanne Sport vs Grasshopper Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Relegation Group · Matchday 38 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 16:00

Lausanne Sport

PPG 1.28 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grasshopper

PPG 0.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.5%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.0%1-19.3%1-26.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.9%3-16.5%3-24.3%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.4%4+-23.6%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 69.0% 1.45 -25.0%

Draw 24.0% 21.7% 4.60 +6.2%

Away win 24.3% 16.1% 6.20 +30.4%

Over 2.5 63.0% 69.0% 1.45 -8.6%

Over 3.5 43.7% 47.6% 2.10 -8.2%

BTTS 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -5.5%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lausanne Sport2.1

Grasshopper1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUSANNE SPORT · PPG 1.28

GRASSHOPPER · PPG 0.72

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

67%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.28) > Away POOR (0.72)

Win probability 1X2

Lausanne Sport (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -25.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +6.2%

Grasshopper (A) 24.3%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +30.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne Sport face Grasshopper in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne Sport a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Grasshopper 24%, so Lausanne Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Lausanne Sport and 1.3 for Grasshopper (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne Sport are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 0.72 for Grasshopper. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.4%. This match finished 1-3.

Lausanne Sport vs Grasshopper Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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