Sion vs Lugano Prediction & Tips

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Switzerland - Super League Championship Group - 37 Stade de Tourbillon· Sion Thursday, May 14, 2026 14:30

Sion PPG 1.83

2-2 MISS

Lugano PPG 1.50

Draw· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.4%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -2.3%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +7.2%

Away 25.3%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -14.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.73 -20.8%

Over 3.5 19.2% Odds: 2.80 -27.7%

BTTS 50.6% Odds: 1.57 -20.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sion

1.33

Lugano

0.93

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away GOOD (1.50)