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FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

FC Basel 1893

PPG 1.55 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lausanne

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-17.8%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.4%1-112.1%1-25.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.4%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.9%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% 52.6% 1.90 -4.0%

Draw 25.3% 25.6% 3.90 -0.8%

Away win 24.3% 29.0% 3.45 -9.7%

Over 2.5 51.0% 66.7% 1.50 -23.5%

Over 3.5 28.9% 44.4% 2.25 -21.0%

BTTS 52.6% 69.0% 1.45 -23.7%

Home O1.5 45.4% 60.6% 1.65 -25.1%

Away O1.5 28.4% 43.5% 2.30 -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 0–0 8.0%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Basel 18931.6

Lausanne1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC BASEL 1893 · PPG 1.55

LAUSANNE · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Basel 1893 (H) 50.5%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -4.0%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -0.8%

Lausanne (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Basel 1893 face Lausanne in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Basel 1893 a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Lausanne 24%, so FC Basel 1893 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for FC Basel 1893 and 1.0 for Lausanne (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Basel 1893 are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.17 for Lausanne.

FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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