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Switzerland - Super League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Super League Championship Group - 38 Kybunpark· St. Gallen Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:30
St. Gallen logo St. Gallen PPG 1.78
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Thun logo Thun PPG 2.00
Away· +34.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -27.0%
Draw 23.0%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -0.3%
Away 34.9%
Odds: 3.85 EV: +34.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.35 -13.7%
Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: 1.85 -17.5%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.35 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Gallen
1.78
Thun
1.64

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.78), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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