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Slovan Bratislava vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

Slovan Bratislava

PPG 1.79 · HOME

UPCOMING

Podbrezová

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.0%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.8%1-110.0%1-25.7%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.7%3-16.5%3-23.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.1%4+-22.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.0%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Bratislava2.0

Podbrezová1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.79

PODBREZOVÁ · PPG 1.34

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Bratislava (H) 53.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Podbrezová (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Bratislava face Podbrezová in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Podbrezová 24%, so Slovan Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.1 for Podbrezová (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Bratislava are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.34 for Podbrezová.

Slovan Bratislava vs Podbrezová Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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