Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.60 -5.1%
Over 3.5 36.0% Odds: 2.50 -10.0%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+51.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)