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Slovakia - Super Liga logo Slovakia flag Slovakia - Super Liga Championship Group - 9 City Arena Trnava· Trnava Sunday, May 10, 2026 17:00
Spartak Trnava logo Spartak Trnava PPG 1.87
1-0 MISS
Zilina logo Zilina PPG 1.47
Away· +51.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.0%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -34.4%
Draw 25.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +0.5%
Away 34.8%
Odds: 4.35 EV: +51.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.60 -5.1%
Over 3.5 36.0% Odds: 2.50 -10.0%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.57 -7.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Spartak Trnava
1.59
Zilina
1.44

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+51.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

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