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Slovakia - Super Liga logo Slovakia flag Slovakia - Super Liga Championship Group - 10 Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:00
S. Bratislava logo S. Bratislava PPG 2.07
0-2 MISS
Z. Michalovce logo Z. Michalovce PPG 1.20
Away· +55.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.8%
Odds: 1.29 EV: -30.6%
Draw 23.8%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +11.4%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 8.60 EV: +55.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.42 -12.8%
Over 3.5 41.0% Odds: 2.05 -16.0%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.65 -1.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Bratislava
2.20
Z. Michalovce
1.05

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+55.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 31%
ROI 22.4%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=53.8%

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