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FK Košice vs AS Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

FK Košice

PPG 1.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

AS Trencin

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.8%0-22.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.9%1-18.4%1-26.0%1-32.9%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.7%3-16.7%3-24.8%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-16.1%4+-24.4%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 53% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–1 6.7%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Košice2.2

AS Trencin1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FK KOŠICE · PPG 1.70

AS TRENCIN · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Košice (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AS Trencin (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Košice face AS Trencin in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Košice a 53% chance, the draw 22% and AS Trencin 25%, so FK Košice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for FK Košice and 1.4 for AS Trencin (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Košice are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.42 for AS Trencin.

FK Košice vs AS Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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