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FC Kosice vs Komarno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 9 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

FC Kosice

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Komarno

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 55% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a clear edge.

+12.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.2%0-23.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.9%1-110.9%1-26.6%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.9%2-19.6%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.6%3-15.6%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.7%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 49.5% 2.02 -0.4%

Draw 25.6% 29.9% 3.35 -8.5%

Away win 25.1% 29.9% 3.35 -9.6%

Over 2.5 59.3% 52.6% 1.90 +12.7%

Over 3.5 34.9% 31.3% 3.20 +11.7%

BTTS 58.8% 59.9% 1.67 -1.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.9%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Kosice1.8

Komarno1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOSICE · PPG 1.73

KOMARNO · PPG 1.07

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

55%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

FC Kosice (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.02 · IMPLIED 49.5% EV -0.4%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -8.5%

Komarno (A) 25.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Kosice face Komarno in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Kosice a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Komarno 25%, so FC Kosice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Kosice and 1.2 for Komarno (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Kosice are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.07 for Komarno. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.7%. This match finished 2-1.

FC Kosice vs Komarno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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