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Skalica vs Ruzomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 10 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Skalica

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Ruzomberok

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-18.9%0-24.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.1%1-112.6%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.0%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.1%3-14.2%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 61.3% 1.63 -22.9%

Draw 27.4% 27.4% 3.65 +0.0%

Away win 25.3% 20.4% 4.90 +14.4%

Over 2.5 47.6% 55.6% 1.80 -14.3%

Over 3.5 23.4% 33.9% 2.95 -18.6%

BTTS 51.6% 57.8% 1.73 -10.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 1–0✓ 12.1%

#4 2–1 9.0%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skalica1.4

Ruzomberok1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALICA · PPG 1.60

RUZOMBEROK · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Skalica (H) 47.3%

ODDS 1.63 · IMPLIED 61.3% EV -22.9%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +0.0%

Ruzomberok (A) 25.3%

ODDS 4.90 · IMPLIED 20.4% EV +14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skalica face Ruzomberok in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skalica a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Ruzomberok 25%, so Skalica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Skalica and 1.0 for Ruzomberok (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skalica are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Ruzomberok. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Skalica vs Ruzomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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