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Skalica vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

Skalica

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ružomberok

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.42, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-19.6%0-24.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.8%1-112.9%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.3%2-18.6%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-13.9%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 25.6% — — —

Over 2.5 48.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 26.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.4%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 49% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 13.8%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skalica1.3

Ružomberok0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALICA · PPG 1.62

RUŽOMBEROK · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.42, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skalica (H) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ružomberok (A) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skalica face Ružomberok in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skalica a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Ružomberok 26%, so Skalica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Skalica and 0.9 for Ružomberok (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skalica are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.14 for Ružomberok.

Skalica vs Ružomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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