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Teplice vs Hradec Kralove Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Teplice

PPG 1.07 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Hradec Kralove

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-111.8%0-26.7%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.7%1-113.3%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.6%2-17.5%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.5%3-12.8%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 36.0% 2.78 -1.6%

Draw 28.6% 32.8% 3.05 -12.8%

Away win 35.9% 40.0% 2.50 -10.3%

Over 2.5 39.4% 45.5% 2.20 -13.3%

Over 3.5 19.3% 23.8% 4.20 -18.9%

BTTS 45.9% 54.1% 1.85 -15.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.9%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–1✓ 11.8%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teplice1.1

Hradec Kralove1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TEPLICE · PPG 1.07

HRADEC KRALOVE · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Teplice (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -1.6%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -12.8%

Hradec Kralove (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Teplice face Hradec Kralove in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teplice a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Hradec Kralove 36%, so Hradec Kralove are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Teplice and 1.1 for Hradec Kralove (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teplice are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.29 for Hradec Kralove. This match finished 0-1.

Teplice vs Hradec Kralove Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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