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Tuttocuoio vs SantAngelo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 32 Stadio Comunale R. Neri· Castelfiorentino Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Tuttocuoio logo Tuttocuoio PPG 0.20
0-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
SantAngelo logo SantAngelo PPG 0.67
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tuttocuoio face SantAngelo in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tuttocuoio a 18% chance, the draw 25% and SantAngelo 57%, so SantAngelo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Tuttocuoio and 1.6 for SantAngelo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tuttocuoio are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 0.67 for SantAngelo. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 25.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 57.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: —
BTTS 41.3% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Tuttocuoio
0.74
SantAngelo
1.56

Model Suggestion

Away MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.20) vs Away POOR (0.67)

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