Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Vålerenga II vs Lokomotiv Oslo

Vålerenga II vs Lokomotiv Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Vålerenga II

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lokomotiv Oslo

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.7%0-20.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-01.2%1-12.4%1-22.6%1-31.8%1-4+1.6%2 2-02.1%2-14.4%2-24.7%2-33.3%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.6%3-15.4%3-25.7%3-34.0%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-112.6%4+-213.3%4+-39.4%4+-4+8.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.6% — — —

Draw 16.1% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 63.7% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 54.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob70.3%

H 62% / xG 3.6-2.1 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.7%

#2 3–1 5.4%

#3 4–2 5.2%

#4 4–1 4.9%

#5 2–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vålerenga II3.6

Lokomotiv Oslo2.1

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 63.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VÅLERENGA II · PPG 2.00

LOKOMOTIV OSLO · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.53 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vålerenga II (H) 61.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lokomotiv Oslo (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vålerenga II face Lokomotiv Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vålerenga II a 62% chance, the draw 16% and Lokomotiv Oslo 22%, so Vålerenga II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Vålerenga II and 2.1 for Lokomotiv Oslo (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vålerenga II are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.57 for Lokomotiv Oslo.

Vålerenga II vs Lokomotiv Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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