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Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 17:00

Lokomotiv Oslo

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

KFUM II

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.9%0-22.8%0-32.9%0-4+4.8%1 1-01.2%1-13.8%1-25.8%1-35.9%1-4+9.7%2 2-01.3%2-13.9%2-25.9%2-36.1%2-4+9.9%3 3-00.9%3-12.6%3-24.0%3-34.1%3-4+6.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-12.2%4+-23.3%4+-33.4%4+-4+5.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 56.8% — — —

Over 2.5 77.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 58.9% — — —

Away O1.5 68.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 84%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -4.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob69.5%

A 57% / xG 2.0-3.1 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 6.1%

#2 1–3 5.9%

#3 2–2 5.9%

#4 1–2 5.8%

#5 2–4 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotiv Oslo2.0

KFUM II3.1

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTIV OSLO · PPG 0.60

KFUM II · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotiv Oslo (H) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KFUM II (A) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotiv Oslo face KFUM II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotiv Oslo a 26% chance, the draw 17% and KFUM II 57%, so KFUM II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lokomotiv Oslo and 3.1 for KFUM II (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotiv Oslo are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.17 for KFUM II.

Lokomotiv Oslo vs KFUM II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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