Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Gamle Oslo vs Union Carl Berner

Gamle Oslo vs Union Carl Berner Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:00

Gamle Oslo

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Carl Berner

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.3%0-21.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-01.7%1-13.7%1-24.1%1-33.0%1-4+2.7%2 2-02.6%2-15.6%2-26.1%2-34.4%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.5%3-15.5%3-26.0%3-34.4%3-4+3.9%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-18.6%4+-29.3%4+-36.8%4+-4+6.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 74.5% — — —

Over 3.5 54.0% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 54.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob70.3%

H 52% / xG 3.0-2.2 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.1%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.6%

#4 3–1 5.5%

#5 4–2 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamle Oslo3.0

Union Carl Berner2.2

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 1.86

UNION CARL BERNER · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gamle Oslo (H) 52.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Carl Berner (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamle Oslo face Union Carl Berner in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamle Oslo a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Union Carl Berner 27%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Gamle Oslo and 2.2 for Union Carl Berner (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamle Oslo are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.71 for Union Carl Berner.

Gamle Oslo vs Union Carl Berner Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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