Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / IF Ready vs Frigg

IF Ready vs Frigg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 17:00

IF Ready logo
IF Ready
PPG 2.17 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Frigg logo
Frigg
PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.3%0-22.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-04.9%1-17.6%1-25.9%1-33.0%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.4%3-16.7%3-25.2%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-16.6%4+-25.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.9%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 27.8%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 45.9%
BTTS 64.5%
Home O1.5 61.8%
Away O1.5 49.0%

League track record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 84%
BTTS 74%
Score Hit 42%
ROI -4.3%
Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.5%

H 50% / xG 2.3-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%
#2 1–1 7.6%
#3 2–2 6.7%
#4 3–1 6.7%
#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Ready2.3
Frigg1.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IF READY · PPG 2.17

FRIGG · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

IF Ready (H) 49.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Frigg (A) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Ready face Frigg in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Ready a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Frigg 28%, so IF Ready are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for IF Ready and 1.5 for Frigg (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Ready are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.40 for Frigg.

PredictVantage

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