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Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Nordstrand

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gamle Oslo

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.6% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.3%0-24.6%0-34.4%0-4+6.2%1 1-01.9%1-15.3%1-27.5%1-37.1%1-4+10.1%2 2-01.5%2-14.3%2-26.2%2-35.8%2-4+8.2%3 3-00.8%3-12.4%3-23.3%3-33.2%3-4+4.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.1% 18.2% 5.50 +12.9%

Draw 21.1% 20.0% 5.00 +3.3%

Away win 56.8% 73.5% 1.36 -22.8%

Over 2.5 72.6% 82.0% 1.22 -11.4%

Over 3.5 50.3% 67.1% 1.49 -25.1%

BTTS 69.3% 76.9% 1.30 -9.9%

Home O1.5 53.5% 44.6% 2.24 +19.8%

Away O1.5 67.8% 84.7% 1.18 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob69.3%

A 57% / xG 1.6-2.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.5%

#2 1–3 7.1%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 1–1 5.3%

#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nordstrand1.6

Gamle Oslo2.8

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 50.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NORDSTRAND · PPG 1.17

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 1.80

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.20 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Nordstrand (H) 22.1%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +12.9%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.3%

Gamle Oslo (A) 56.8%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nordstrand face Gamle Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nordstrand a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Gamle Oslo 57%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Nordstrand and 2.8 for Gamle Oslo (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nordstrand are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.80 for Gamle Oslo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +41.8%.

Nordstrand vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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