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Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangdong Mingtu Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:30

Hubei Chufeng Heli

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guangdong Mingtu

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-17.7%0-23.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.0%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.3%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.5%3-14.8%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hubei Chufeng Heli1.6

Guangdong Mingtu0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HUBEI CHUFENG HELI · PPG 1.88

GUANGDONG MINGTU · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hubei Chufeng Heli (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guangdong Mingtu (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hubei Chufeng Heli face Guangdong Mingtu in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hubei Chufeng Heli a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Guangdong Mingtu 24%, so Hubei Chufeng Heli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 0.9 for Guangdong Mingtu (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hubei Chufeng Heli are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.44 for Guangdong Mingtu.

Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Guangdong Mingtu Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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