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Wuhan Three Towns II vs Xiamen Feilu Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 16 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 11:30

Wuhan Three Towns II

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Xiamen Feilu

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-115.6%0-210.0%0-34.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.0%1-112.8%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.1%2-15.3%2-23.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.5%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 42.6% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 37.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.7%

A 43% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 0–1 15.6%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three Towns II0.8

Xiamen Feilu1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE TOWNS II · PPG 0.50

XIAMEN FEILU · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.46, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three Towns II (H) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Xiamen Feilu (A) 42.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns II face Xiamen Feilu in China - League Two on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three Towns II a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Xiamen Feilu 43%, so Xiamen Feilu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wuhan Three Towns II and 1.3 for Xiamen Feilu (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three Towns II are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.12 for Xiamen Feilu.

Wuhan Three Towns II vs Xiamen Feilu Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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