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BIT vs Nantong Haimen Codion Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 16 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 11:00

BIT

PPG 0.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nantong Haimen Codion

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-114.2%0-29.0%0-33.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.3%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.7%2-16.0%2-23.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 40.4% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 14.2%

#4 0–2 9.0%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BIT0.9

Nantong Haimen Codion1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BIT · PPG 0.38

NANTONG HAIMEN CODION · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

BIT (H) 31.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantong Haimen Codion (A) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BIT face Nantong Haimen Codion in China - League Two on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BIT a 31% chance, the draw 29% and Nantong Haimen Codion 40%, so Nantong Haimen Codion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for BIT and 1.3 for Nantong Haimen Codion (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BIT are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 0.67 for Nantong Haimen Codion.

BIT vs Nantong Haimen Codion Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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