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Rizhao Yuqi vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 16 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 11:30

Rizhao Yuqi

PPG 1.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tai'an Tiankuang

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.1%0-119.7%0-27.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.0%1-111.8%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.5%2-13.5%2-21.4%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.9%3-10.7%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 33.9% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.1% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.4%

D 34% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.1%

#2 0–1 19.7%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 1–0 15.0%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rizhao Yuqi0.6

Tai'an Tiankuang0.8

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RIZHAO YUQI · PPG 1.12

TAI'AN TIANKUANG · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.19, combined xG 1.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rizhao Yuqi (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tai'an Tiankuang (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizhao Yuqi face Tai'an Tiankuang in China - League Two on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizhao Yuqi a 31% chance, the draw 34% and Tai'an Tiankuang 35%, so Tai'an Tiankuang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Rizhao Yuqi and 0.8 for Tai'an Tiankuang (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizhao Yuqi are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 1.50 for Tai'an Tiankuang.

Rizhao Yuqi vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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