Today / China - League Two / Shangyu Pterosaur vs Langfang Glory City

Shangyu Pterosaur vs Langfang Glory City Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:30

Shangyu Pterosaur logo
Shangyu Pterosaur
PPG 1.44 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Langfang Glory City logo
Langfang Glory City
PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-18.5%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.4%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.0%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.0%3-14.4%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.0%
Draw 25.8%
Away win 26.2%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Over 3.5 28.9%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5 45.4%
Away O1.5 23.5%

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 44%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -19.8%
Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 48% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%
#2 1–0 14.2%
#3 0–0 9.8%
#4 2–0 10.3%
#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shangyu Pterosaur1.5
Langfang Glory City0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGYU PTEROSAUR · PPG 1.44

LANGFANG GLORY CITY · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Shangyu Pterosaur (H) 48.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Langfang Glory City (A) 26.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shangyu Pterosaur face Langfang Glory City in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shangyu Pterosaur a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Langfang Glory City 26%, so Shangyu Pterosaur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Shangyu Pterosaur and 0.9 for Langfang Glory City (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shangyu Pterosaur are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.44 for Langfang Glory City.

PredictVantage

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