Lentigione vs Progresso Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Match Preview & Prediction

Lentigione face Progresso in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lentigione a 77% chance, the draw 17% and Progresso 6%, so Lentigione are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lentigione and 0.4 for Progresso (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lentigione are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.20 for Progresso. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.5%. This match finished 1-2.