Correggese PPG 1.33
Trevigliese PPG 0.80Correggese face Trevigliese in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Correggese a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Trevigliese 10%, so Correggese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Correggese and 0.6 for Trevigliese (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Correggese are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Trevigliese. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.8%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)