Today / Austria - 2. Liga / Floridsdorfer AC vs SKN ST. Polten

Floridsdorfer AC vs SKN ST. Polten Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 1 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:30

Floridsdorfer AC

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

SKN ST. Polten

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-19.9%0-25.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.9%1-113.0%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-18.5%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.7%3-13.7%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 33.9% 2.95 +35.1%

Draw 26.8% 31.3% 3.20 -8.5%

Away win 27.3% 43.5% 2.30 -22.3%

Over 2.5 50.4% 47.6% 2.10 +5.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 27.0% 3.70 +4.2%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 38.3% 35.7% 2.80 +7.2%

Away O1.5 29.8% 42.0% 2.38 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floridsdorfer AC1.3

SKN ST. Polten1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FLORIDSDORFER AC · PPG 1.45

SKN ST. POLTEN · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 2.31 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Floridsdorfer AC (H) 45.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +35.1%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.5%

SKN ST. Polten (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -22.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Floridsdorfer AC face SKN ST. Polten in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floridsdorfer AC a 46% chance, the draw 27% and SKN ST. Polten 27%, so Floridsdorfer AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.0 for SKN ST. Polten (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floridsdorfer AC are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.50 for SKN ST. Polten. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +18.9%.

Floridsdorfer AC vs SKN ST. Polten Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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