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Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 1 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 16:30

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.87 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rapid Wien II

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.2%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.6%1-110.1%1-25.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.1%3-16.5%3-23.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.0%4+-22.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.4% 44.4% 2.25 +22.4%

Draw 22.6% 28.2% 3.55 -11.9%

Away win 23.0% 36.4% 2.75 -22.1%

Over 2.5 61.2% 58.8% 1.70 +4.0%

Over 3.5 37.3% 36.4% 2.75 +2.6%

BTTS 55.4% 64.5% 1.55 -14.1%

Home O1.5 53.6% 50.0% 2.00 +7.2%

Away O1.5 36.3% 43.5% 2.30 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Admira Wacker2.0

Rapid Wien II1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.87

RAPID WIEN II · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Admira Wacker (H) 54.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +22.4%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -11.9%

Rapid Wien II (A) 23.0%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Admira Wacker face Rapid Wien II in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Admira Wacker a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Rapid Wien II 23%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Admira Wacker and 1.1 for Rapid Wien II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Admira Wacker are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.22 for Rapid Wien II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +30.2%.

Admira Wacker vs Rapid Wien II Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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