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Scanzorosciate vs Leon Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Group B - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Scanzorosciate

PPG 1.60 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Leon

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-111.6%0-25.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-113.3%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-17.6%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.3%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.7% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 33.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.9% — — —

BTTS 40.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob40.1%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0✓ 13.1%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Scanzorosciate1.1

Leon0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SCANZOROSCIATE · PPG 1.60

LEON · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Scanzorosciate (H) 41.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leon (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Scanzorosciate face Leon in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Scanzorosciate a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Leon 28%, so Scanzorosciate are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Scanzorosciate and 0.9 for Leon (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Scanzorosciate are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.80 for Leon. This match finished 0-0.

Scanzorosciate vs Leon Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Match Preview & Prediction

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