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Oltrepo PPG 1.20 
Sondrio PPG 0.80
Oltrepo vs Sondrio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B
Oltrepo PPG 1.200-3 MISS
Sondrio PPG 0.80 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Oltrepo face Sondrio in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oltrepo a 64% chance, the draw 23% and Sondrio 13%, so Oltrepo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Oltrepo and 0.6 for Sondrio (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oltrepo are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.80 for Sondrio. This match finished 0-3.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.2% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: — —
BTTS 37.8% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Oltrepo 1.71
Sondrio 0.62
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 75%
Score Hit 33%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)