F. Caratese vs Real Calepina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Italy - Serie D - Girone B Group B - 32 Sportitalia Arena· Carate Brianza Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

F. Caratese PPG 1.93

1-1 HIT CS3

Real Calepina PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

F. Caratese face Real Calepina in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives F. Caratese a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Real Calepina 11%, so F. Caratese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for F. Caratese and 0.7 for Real Calepina (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, F. Caratese are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.33 for Real Calepina. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 20.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 11.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 27.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 41.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

F. Caratese

1.97

Real Calepina

0.66

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)