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Ciserano vs Vogherese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Group B - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Ciserano

PPG 1.47 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vogherese

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-15.7%0-21.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.6%1-18.7%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.3%2-16.6%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.8%3-13.4%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-11.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.2% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 9.0% — — —

Over 2.5 29.9% — — —

Over 3.5 12.7% — — —

BTTS 24.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob24.9%

H 66% / xG 1.5-0.4 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 22.6%

#2 2–0 17.3%

#3 0–0 14.8%

#4 3–0 8.8%

#5 1–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ciserano1.5

Vogherese0.4

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CISERANO · PPG 1.47

VOGHERESE · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ciserano (H) 66.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vogherese (A) 9.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ciserano face Vogherese in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ciserano a 66% chance, the draw 25% and Vogherese 9%, so Ciserano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ciserano and 0.4 for Vogherese (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 25% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ciserano are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.33 for Vogherese. This match finished 6-1.

Ciserano vs Vogherese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Match Preview & Prediction

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