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San Luis vs Rangers de Talca Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 22:00

San Luis

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rangers de Talca

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.96 for Home, form 2.50 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-12.5%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.7%1-16.5%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.4%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.8%3-17.2%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.0%4+-18.5%4+-22.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.8% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 9.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 48.8% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.8%

H 72% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 3–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 4–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Luis2.6

Rangers de Talca0.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN LUIS · PPG 2.50

RANGERS DE TALCA · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.96 for Home, form 2.50 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

San Luis (H) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rangers de Talca (A) 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Luis face Rangers de Talca in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Luis a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Rangers de Talca 10%, so San Luis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for San Luis and 0.6 for Rangers de Talca (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Luis are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.14 for Rangers de Talca.

San Luis vs Rangers de Talca Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

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