Today / Chile - Liga de Ascenso / Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo

Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 16:30

Rangers de Talca

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportes Copiapo

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.6%0-27.4%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.0%1-112.5%1-28.7%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.3%2-17.4%2-25.2%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.1%3-12.9%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.9% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers de Talca1.2

Deportes Copiapo1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS DE TALCA · PPG 0.25

DEPORTES COPIAPO · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rangers de Talca (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportes Copiapo (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers de Talca face Deportes Copiapo in Chile - Liga de Ascenso on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers de Talca a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Deportes Copiapo 36%, so Rangers de Talca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rangers de Talca and 1.4 for Deportes Copiapo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers de Talca are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.86 for Deportes Copiapo.

Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo Prediction— Chile - Liga de Ascenso

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Liga de Ascenso Predictions