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IFK Skövde vs Ahlafors Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 15 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

IFK Skövde

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ahlafors

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.7%0-24.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.8%1-18.7%1-27.9%1-34.8%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.6%3-14.8%3-24.4%3-32.7%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.3%4+-23.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 66.7% — — —

Over 3.5 44.6% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 51.5% — — —

Away O1.5 48.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

H 37% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Skövde1.8

Ahlafors1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.6%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK SKÖVDE · PPG 1.71

AHLAFORS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IFK Skövde (H) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ahlafors (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Skövde face Ahlafors in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Skövde a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Ahlafors 41%, so Ahlafors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for IFK Skövde and 1.8 for Ahlafors (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Skövde are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.86 for Ahlafors.

IFK Skövde vs Ahlafors Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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